I am looking at a Lib Dem leaflet and laughing.
I know their game plan, it's always the same. At this stage in the campaign they put out leaflets saying that "it is too close to call" and that every last vote is needed to keep out..... or to beat...... in your area. This is supported with a helpful graph based on whatever figures are most supportive to the message.
Don't think that these figures need to have any relevance to the election in hand, They are often based on national figures, old election results, numbers of councillors, days in the month, dice rolls etc.
What made me laugh today was that the local Lib Dems in Lewisham East, where the leaflet was delivered clearly don't have any figures which support their "too close to call" narrative. So they've clearly made them up.
The graph that they use, with Labour in the lead, Lib Dems a close second and the Conservatives a very distant third, was based on "Lib Dem poll results" 29.4.2010. They don't even pretend that these are legitimate figures, no sample size, no details of collection method, no details of weighting methodology etc.
This is from the party which demands more honesty in politics.
Just for the record the Lib Dems came third in Lewisham East at the last general election and a distant third (13% of the vote) in the 2008 Assembly elections. I conducted some of my own polling in Lewisham East (face to face questioning conducted on 2.5.2010 unweighted sample size of 2) which gave the Conservatives 100% of the popular vote.
Read into that what you will.
Coulson in Court
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