The Sun is running a story about a Royal Navy fleet being dispatched to the Falklands to defend any Argentinian aggression. Firstly one warship and it's fuel tanker is not a fleet! Secondly I cannot envisage an Argentinian attack like 1982 happening now.
I'm sure the Argentinian government still feel that the Falklands should be theirs, I'm sure they will feel that any oil revenue from Falkland waters should be theirs too and I'm sure that they recognise the level of over-stretch in the forces would make a defence of the Falklands very difficult. But even taken together it would not be enough.
The nature of Argentina's government today is very different to the Junta from the early 80s and world public opinion would look even less favourably now than it did then.
Be under no illusion though, I would not be writing about this at all had the government not starved the forces of resources while increasing their commitments. We are less able to deal with an attack now than in 1982 (although we would still win is such a conflict arose) and this sabre rattling is almost certainly linked to our current position.
Newslinks for Saturday 25th May 2013
5 hours ago