Gordon Brown is entering his honeymoon period just as David Cameron is coming out of his. The almost blanket coverage of Labour in General and Brown and Blair in particular was always going to give them a bounce in the polls, the real picture won't emerge for a few months.
People want to see what Brown will do differently to Blair and they also want to see how Cameron will react. Is Brown a leftly at heart? What will Blair do next? Who will be in the cabinet? Will David Cameron shine or sink? Will there be a Shadow Cabinet reshuffle? etc. etc. etc.
What no one cares much about at the moment is the Lib Dems. They are increasingly coming across as an irrelevance, at a time when a snap election and a hung parliament are both real possibilities people should be paying a great deal of attention. They are not.
This is the tipping point for the Lib Dems, they can either establish themselves as a real force in British politics or they can gently slip under the surface. Drowning, not waving!
Could Brown Call an Election This Week?
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2 comments:
I've said it for some considerable time - Libdems will have under 40 ( if not under 20) seats next time. They will slit and one part will lurch left
Do you have any evidence for this, or is it merely wishful thinking?
The long-term electoral, membership and participation trends contradict your analysis and even suggest that there is still growing disenchantment with the established duopoly - why, after all has the election of Cameron as Conservative leader been percieved as a jolt?
Perhaps the long-held traditional British voice of democracy is coming to the fore again...let's agree to hope it doesn't require a major war for it to happen.
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